2024-04-26
Dive into our detailed analysis of key matchups for tomorrow’s WTA Madrid 1000, featuring each player’s win probability, Pinnacle odds, and assessments of their market value.
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Ashlyn Krueger (Pinnacle Odds: -220/+180)
- Ekaterina Alexandrova is closely matched with her statistical win probability of 66.57%, with her odds at -220 reflecting slight undervaluation.
- Ashlyn Krueger, offered at +180, is slightly undervalued with a 33.43% chance, offering a modest opportunity for bettors.
Mirra Andreeva vs. Linda Noskova (Pinnacle Odds: -160/+130)
- Mirra Andreeva is favored at -160, which slightly undervalues her 58.47% win probability.
- Linda Noskova, with odds of +130, is not far behind in value, with a win probability of 41.53%.
Danielle Rose Collins vs. Olga Danilovic (Pinnacle Odds: -230/+180)
- Danielle Rose Collins, with odds of -230, is fairly priced close to her 67.20% statistical probability.
- Olga Danilovic at +180 has a 32.80% chance of winning, aligning closely with the betting odds.
Katie Boulter vs. Robin Montgomery (Pinnacle Odds: -130/+110)
- Katie Boulter’s -130 odds are well justified by her 54.38% win probability, suggesting she’s slightly undervalued.
- Robin Montgomery, priced at +110, closely matches her 45.62% chance, offering fair value.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs. Daria Saville (Pinnacle Odds: -240/+190)
- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is appropriately valued with -240 odds against a 68.30% win probability.
- Daria Saville’s +190 odds offer her a reasonable chance, reflecting her 31.70% probability.
Jaqueline Cristian vs. Barbora Krejcikova (Pinnacle Odds: -140/+120)
- Jaqueline Cristian, despite being the underdog at +120, is overvalued with a 56.62% statistical probability of victory.
- Barbora Krejcikova, listed at -140, is undervalued, making her a solid bet against her lower 43.38% chance.
Qinwen Zheng vs. Yulia Putintseva (Pinnacle Odds: -140/+110)
- Qinwen Zheng, with -140 odds, closely aligns with her 55.95% win probability, showing fair pricing.
- Yulia Putintseva, priced at +110, is slightly undervalued given her 44.05% probability.
Cristina Bucsa vs. Daria Kasatkina (Pinnacle Odds: +280/-370)
- Cristina Bucsa is priced at +280, reflecting her lower 23.91% win probability accurately.
- Daria Kasatkina, with -370 odds, slightly overstates her 76.09% chance, indicating slight overvaluation.
Sara Bejlek vs. Anna Kalinskaya (Pinnacle Odds: +100/-120)
- Sara Bejlek is undervalued at +100, given her near-even 48.54% chance against Anna Kalinskaya.
- Anna Kalinskaya, favored at -120, matches her 51.46% win probability, offering balanced betting value.
Caroline Dolehide vs. Anhelina Kalinina (Pinnacle Odds: +150/-190)
- Caroline Dolehide’s +150 odds understate her 37.07% win probability, suggesting she is undervalued.
- Anhelina Kalinina at -190 is accurately priced with her 62.93% chance of victory.
These matchups provide a blend of risks and opportunities, guiding bettors toward informed decisions based on statistical insights and current betting odds. Each analysis helps to identify where the real betting value lies in tomorrow’s WTA Madrid 1000 action.
English