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Madrid WTA Tennis Betting: Expert Odds Analysis for Today’s Matches

2024-04-28

Welcome to 10sdata.org! Today, we’re diving into the Madrid Open with a sharp eye on tennis betting. Whether you’re a seasoned gambler or just tuning in, these quick insights will help you navigate today’s matches with more confidence. Let’s break down the betting odds.

Mayar Sherif (+600) vs. Elena Rybakina (-1,000)

  • Implied Probability Analysis:
    • Sherif: Pinnacle 13.58% vs. ELO 14.39%
    • Rybakina: Pinnacle 86.42% vs. ELO 85.61%
  • Value Insight:
    • Odds are quite aligned, indicating a fair market valuation for both players.

Ashlyn Krueger (-110) vs. Sara Bejlek (-110)

  • Implied Probability Analysis:
    • Krueger: Pinnacle 49.34% vs. ELO 36.49% (overvalued)
    • Bejlek: Pinnacle 50.66% vs. ELO 63.51% (undervalued)
  • Value Insight:
    • Krueger is overvalued according to ELO; better value on Bejlek.

Yulia Putintseva (-170) vs. Caroline Dolehide (+140)

  • Implied Probability Analysis:
    • Putintseva: Pinnacle 59.90% vs. ELO 67.68%
    • Dolehide: Pinnacle 40.10% vs. ELO 32.32%
  • Value Insight:
    • Putintseva shows good value with her Pinnacle odds undervalued compared to her ELO probability.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (-110) vs. Daria Kasatkina (-110)

  • Implied Probability Analysis:
    • Pavlyuchenkova: Pinnacle 50.12% vs. ELO 45.61%
    • Kasatkina: Pinnacle 49.88% vs. ELO 54.39%
  • Value Insight:
    • Slight undervaluation on Kasatkina, suggesting a potential edge in betting on her.

Marketa Vondrousova (-140) vs. Mirra Andreeva (+120)

  • Implied Probability Analysis:
    • Vondrousova: Pinnacle 55.96% vs. ELO 46.51%
    • Andreeva: Pinnacle 44.04% vs. ELO 53.49%
  • Value Insight:
    • Andreeva appears undervalued, presenting an attractive betting opportunity.

Caroline Garcia (+110) vs. Jasmine Paolini (-140)

  • Implied Probability Analysis:
    • Garcia: Pinnacle 45.31% vs. ELO 38.98%
    • Paolini: Pinnacle 54.69% vs. ELO 61.02%
  • Value Insight:
    • Garcia’s odds suggest she is overvalued, making Paolini a more appealing bet.

Danielle Rose Collins (-480) vs. Jaqueline Cristian (+340)

  • Implied Probability Analysis:
    • Collins: Pinnacle 78.62% vs. ELO 64.57%
    • Cristian: Pinnacle 21.38% vs. ELO 35.42%
  • Value Insight:
    • Significant undervaluation on Cristian could make her an interesting long shot.

Robin Montgomery (+540) vs. Aryna Sabalenka (-860)

  • Implied Probability Analysis:
    • Montgomery: Pinnacle 14.85% vs. ELO 20.85%
    • Sabalenka: Pinnacle 85.15% vs. ELO 79.15%
  • Value Insight:
    • Montgomery is undervalued, potentially offering value for risk-tolerant bettors.

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